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When U.S. President-elect Donald Trump says that if he won in 2020 there would be no war between Russia and Ukraine, it is not an exaggeration given his deal-making abilities.
Trump lost the 2020 election only because the Deep State avenged the 2016 defeat of a Washington “insider,” former secretary of state and former first lady, Hillary Clinton.
No matter what you think of Trump, he proved his ability to perform miracles. The first was on November 8, 2016, when, being a businessman and political novice, he defeated Washington insider, former Secretary of State, and former First Lady Hillary Clinton. He did it contrary to all polls, giving Clinton over a 90 percent chance of winning by performing one of the biggest political upsets in American history. The Deep State has not accepted this victory lightly and launched an unprecedented massive anti-Trump Russiagate campaign that ruined his first Presidential term together with his intention to get along with Russia, which in his mind was a “Good thing for America.” This would be good also for the rest of the world if two countries with the largest nuclear weapons arsenals lived in peace and harmony.
In November 2020, the Deep State took a revanche for its loss in 2016 by facilitating Biden’s victory using all kinds of manipulations, including producing the letter signed by the 51 top US intelligence officers blaming Russia for the criminal contexts of Hunter Biden’s laptopthat included his father involvement. The results of Biden administration foreign policy are on full display when the world is on fire and the threat of direct Russia-NATO confrontation is not ruled out. Presently the war in Ukraine is a major factor in this crisis and when Trump says that had he won, there would be no war, it is not an exaggeration, considering his ability to make deals.
The War Party of the West is not yet ready to give up the idea of “inflicting a strategic defeat on Russia”
Trump’s second miracle occurred on November 5, 2024, when he won the Presidential election in a landslide despite over 100 lawsuits, thirty-four felony convictions, charges of fraud, election subversion, and obstruction. In summary, Trump could get 187 years in jail for all these crimes plus add.to his misfortunes two attempts on his life. It looks like someone is watching him from above.
Now, the big question is whether we will witness the third Trump miracle: ending the war in Ukraine, thus becoming a peacemaker and saving the world from Armageddon. Of course, he cannot do too much before January 20, when he moves in the White House, except for planning different scenarios.
Almost everyone agrees that some deal seems likely and soon, but the devil is in the details. The war party is not ready to give up the idea of inflicting a strategic defeat on Russia, claiming that any compromise, short of total West victory, would only embolden not only Russia, which will invade NATO countries in the not-so-distant future, but would also compound the threats from China, Iran, and North Korea. Of course, no one admits that had Washington accepted Ukraine’s neutral status there would be no Russia’s invasion in the first place, and many well-known American experts, including Members of Congress, emphasize that US would do the same to Mexico in case it decided to join the anti-American military alliance with Russia or China. Also, contrary to the US, neither China, nor Iran or North Korea are on the record of invading other countries.
For the war party, using relatively cheap Ukrainian cannon fodder is an additional incentive. Indeed, so far, there have been no American casualties, and Washington has spent around 300 billion dollars on this war. However, during the post-9/11 “War on Terror,” according to Brown University’s “Costs of War” (pictured under the article) research, over 27 thousand US and allied military troops were killed, and close to 8 trillion US taxpayer’s funds were spent.
In addition, many US companies, like Black Rock and others, have already acquired many Ukrainian lands and natural resources and are not ready to give them up if Trump considers this to be a part of the deal. He still has around five weeks to strategize, and plenty of solicited or unsolicited scenarios are floating around.
Everyone understands that Zelensky’s dreams of NATO membership are unrealistic. At least seven NATO countries, including the United States, are reported to oppose Ukraine’s entry or want to defer it indefinitely. Some European leaders could pledge to send their military to Ukraine as peacekeepers. Still, considering their low ratings, this idea wouldn’t be very popular at home, especially since Trump said to count America out of this group.
Trump and the people he has picked for the most senior positions in foreign policy and national security are primarily concerned about China, and they want to delegate Europe taking responsibility when dealing with Ukraine.
According to the New York Times, another possible model—armed neutrality—would require Russia to pledge not to attack Ukraine and for Ukraine to forswear both NATO membership and the deployment of foreign troops and armaments on its soil. It may also be the most achievable outcome since Putin has said neutrality is essential for “good-neighborly relations.”
At this time, it may be hard to imagine such relations between Russia and Ukraine, but Putin is known for keeping his word, and If, on January 21, Trump calls him and suggests a summit they could make a historic deal. The meeting place can be found somewhere in Europe. Taking into account Budapest’ peace initiatives, it would be one of the most preferred locations.
This horrible war has continued for more than 1,000 days. It killed hundreds of thousands, displaced millions, destroyed large parts of Ukraine, and threatens nuclear Armageddon. It is time to end it, and if Trump performs his third miracle, he will enter the annals of American and world history.
