US 2024 Election: This Prediction Method Gives Kamala Harris Advantage
Cold showers for Republicans: the method hasn't failed in the last 36 years. But we'll have to wait for the official nomination of the candidate at the Democratic Party convention, scheduled for August 19-22, 2024, in Chicago
There is a forecasting method that hasn’t failed since 1984 that lets you know who can win the US presidential election.
It is called “13 Keys to the White House” and is a prediction system developed in 1981 by American historian Allan Lichtman in collaboration with Soviet mathematician Vladimir Keilis-Borok to make intelligent predictions about who will be the next president of the United States of America.
So far, Lichtman has predicted every presidential victory in the last 36 years, including Donald Trump’s completely unexpected win in 2016.
The system consists of 13 criteria, or “keys,” that guarantee victory for the White House to whichever candidate satisfies the majority. In other words, any candidate who possesses 7 of the 13 “keys” is the likely winner of the presidential race.
Allan Lichtman has yet to make a full prediction for the November 5 presidential election. But under the current circumstances, Kamala Harris will win.
“Harris wins: she has eight of the 13 ‘keys.’ But we have to wait for the official nomination at the Democratic Party convention in the second half of August,” Lichtman wrote on X social media (formerly Twitter).