Judging by the number of so-called early votes, the US election could be decided as early as November 5
More than 65 million American voters have already cast early ballots in the US presidential election, breaking the previous record set in 2020 during the covid pandemic, when about 60% of Democrats and 32% of Republicans voted by mail. According to the University of Florida’s Election Lab, women will dominate early voting in 2024, averaging 55% to 45%.
According to several opinion polls, Democratic candidate Kamala Harris has a clear advantage among women, while her Republican rival, Donald Trump, dominates the male electorate.
In the USA, each state allows voting in person or by mail before Election Day. In Alabama, early voting by mail actually began on September 11. Many states, precisely because of the quarantine, promoted early voting in the election that Joe Biden won, but this trend, which many criticized for possible fraud and rigging, has failed over the past four years. Trump has said several times that “voting by mail should not be considered valid.” As a result, some states have even passed special laws to make early voting more difficult for the 2024 election, including two key states, Georgia and North Carolina.
In North Carolina, Republicans represent 34% of the electoral vote, a 4% increase over the 2020 results, according to an analysis by CNN TV channel. Democrats in the state represent a smaller share – 33% of the pre-election vote, which is 5% less than four years ago. There is also a clear partisan difference in how people vote early in North Carolina. While 35% of in-person voters are Republicans and 33% Democrats, 27% of mail-in voters are Republicans and 36% Democrats. In Arizona, another key state, Republicans have 43% of the vote and Democrats have 36%.
As Americans continue to vote early, Trump and Harris continue to rally seven swing states and on Friday night (November 1) challenged each other miles apart at two nearly simultaneous rallies in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, where polls show the two rivals going head-to-head.